Monday, October 25, 2010

Go fly a kite!

Please ignore the title of this blog. That was my lame attempt at humour...tomorrow will not be a very good day for kite flying. High winds will likely lead to the kite "flying you" and, with a good chance of some late day thunderstorm activity, electrocution is another possibility. So just how windy is it going to be? Looking at the latest forecast models (see above), sustained winds ahead of that system will likely be in the range of 20-30km/h and if that's not enough for you...

Just wait! As the day progresses (and the "low"approaches) the wind will continue to pick up speed and switch from a a southeasterly to a more southerly direction. This southerly push of wind, just ahead of a cold front, could see gusts in excess of 60 to 70km/h. Some localized wind gusts, depending on topography, may even be in excess of that. As you can see in the image above (from our CHEX TV ADONIS forecast model) by 8pm we can expect very blustery conditions and rain. Later in the evening, as the cold front passes, a thunderstorm is possible before the wind changes to a westerly direction and begins to "die down" through the overnight hours. So what does this mean for our region? After a somewhat sunny start to the day I expect the clouds to build and the wind to pick up during the afternoon. I then expect a wet and windy evening with possible thundershowers. A few Power outages are possible and a big clean-up is ahead for our local political candidates. Today is election day but if the municipal candidates procrastinate in collecting their election signs...well that wind will leave quite a mess to clean up on Wednesday morning.

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