If you've been watching the "Newswatch Weather Updates" today on CHEX TV you probably already know about that "chance of a few flurries" tomorrow evening. (Sorry to be the bearer of bad news btw). With the wind switching to a more northerly direction tomorrow (thanks to a powerful coastal storm) it will certainly be cold enough for snow as the temp drops from around 3 degrees in the morning to minus 3 tomorrow night. While the evening temperature is more favourable for a few flakes I thought I'd show you what our "FutureCast" expects tomorrow morning. That blue stuff...well that's snow. Our ADONIS forecast model has Peterborough sitting right on the rain snow line early tomorrow morning. So will we actually see snow? That all depends on the temperature. If we are indeed sitting at 3 or 4 degrees tomorrow morning what we'll likely get is just a few rain showers with some possible mixed precipitation (a few flakes mixed in with some rain) but if we're even slightly below the expected overnight low, then a few flurries are possible. What ends up falling depends on just how cold it gets tonight. As for my call, I'd put my money on a few rain showers throughout the day changing to flurries tomorrow night. I wouldn't put a lot of money on though as we're right on the threshold for either rain or snow. As for Haliburton, Bancroft and communities to the north...I think you will see a few flurries starting tomorrow morning and continuing throughout the day. Thursday, November 4, 2010
Rain today, snow tomorrow...really?
If you've been watching the "Newswatch Weather Updates" today on CHEX TV you probably already know about that "chance of a few flurries" tomorrow evening. (Sorry to be the bearer of bad news btw). With the wind switching to a more northerly direction tomorrow (thanks to a powerful coastal storm) it will certainly be cold enough for snow as the temp drops from around 3 degrees in the morning to minus 3 tomorrow night. While the evening temperature is more favourable for a few flakes I thought I'd show you what our "FutureCast" expects tomorrow morning. That blue stuff...well that's snow. Our ADONIS forecast model has Peterborough sitting right on the rain snow line early tomorrow morning. So will we actually see snow? That all depends on the temperature. If we are indeed sitting at 3 or 4 degrees tomorrow morning what we'll likely get is just a few rain showers with some possible mixed precipitation (a few flakes mixed in with some rain) but if we're even slightly below the expected overnight low, then a few flurries are possible. What ends up falling depends on just how cold it gets tonight. As for my call, I'd put my money on a few rain showers throughout the day changing to flurries tomorrow night. I wouldn't put a lot of money on though as we're right on the threshold for either rain or snow. As for Haliburton, Bancroft and communities to the north...I think you will see a few flurries starting tomorrow morning and continuing throughout the day. 
Wednesday, November 3, 2010
Now that's more like it!
10 degrees! 10!!! As the title of the blog says: "now that's more like it!" We started out the day at -7 and, thanks to a southerly push of warm air ahead of an approaching cold front (see the image above) we gained 17 degrees by 2pm. Even though this frontal passage will also bring a few showers to the region, the cloud cover will at least trap in some of that heat we gained today resulting in a very mild overnight across the Kawarthas. How mild? We'll likely hover around the freezing mark tonight (hopefully above it) which is a heck of a lot better than the -7 we "enjoyed" last night.
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