Dragon Boatin' Time

Oh boy. I'm out of shape and tomorrow I'm laying it all out. I'll be giving it my all...and most likely hurling over the side of the boat. Tomorrow is the the Dragon Boat Festival hosted by Survivors Abreast and sponsored by Kawartha Credit Union. It's a great event and an even greater cause! Now to the big question everyone is asking...how is the weather going to be? Not bad. Unfortunately more cloud than sun can be expected but things should stay dry until late in the afternoon. Some rain is possible but looks to be short lived. Sunday is looking promising with the latest forecast model runs calling for sunshine. So let's hope we catch a break tomorrow and please come out and cheer on the CHEX/Wolf KRUZers tomorrow as we paddle across Little Lake.

Saturday?

Saturday. The day we all long for. The day that we hold our breaths and collectively hope for great weather. No matter the time of year, Saturday is by far the day that weather matters most and this weekend is a great example why that is. A bunch of events have been planned. Busker Fest is on in Cobourg, Blues Fest in Young’s Point and of course the Dragon Boat Festival is on here in Peterborough.

A great way to get an idea of what the weather is going to be like is to look at some forecasting models. These models are literally computer programs that simulate the atmosphere. But that’s the problem. Although they do a great job…it is just a simulation and the real Mother Nature is always full of surprises. That is why these numerical models don’t always agree with one another. That’s why Saturday’s Forecast is uncertain.

Looking at the latest GFS run some late day showers are possible on Saturday (as seen in the pic). The latest NAM run (although not shown) shows a very similar picture only early in the day. Both agree that we’ll see a little rain…they just don’t agree as to when we’ll see it. The Canadian model shows the possibility of showers as well but all three show that some sunshine can also be expected…so it’s not all bad. Overall…the weekend still looks promising.

A Wet Start

After a somewhat sunny start to the day it looks like some active weather is on our doorstep. Yes, a wet start to the work week as an area of low pressure is pushing in from the southwest and looks to kick in a good bit of moisture. We could also see a few thundershowers associated with this system tonight and, judging by the latest forecast run (as seen in the pic), we could see some activity lingering into Tomorrow. Expect heavier showers associated with any thunderstorm activity. Now for some good news…things look to clear by Wednesday. Bad news? Well…we could see a similar system gather strength and track in Thursday into Friday. Oh and at this point the weekend is looking good (knock on wood).