Friday, March 19, 2010

Bye Bye Winter!

It looks like the winter of 2009/2010 really will go down in history as "the winter that never was." That is unless we get a massive snow storm in the next 24 hours. Anything is possible, but I seriously doubt we'll see any measurable snow by 1:32pm tomorrow when we officially enter spring. Maybe some light rain tonight to the north but snow would be a long shot. So why has this winter been so mild and dry? Well, you can thank El Nino for that...but there is a chance for some precipitation to kick of spring.

















Looking at the latest GFS run there is the chance for some late day rain tomorrow as that frontal boundary (between a departing Alberta Clipper and an arriving Colorado Low) skims by the region. Don't expect a washout but a few showers are possible tomorrow and again on Sunday.

















But it's not all bad. Earlier this week that Colorado low was looking to track right through the region for Sunday and Monday but the latest NAM run shows the majority of the rain should fall south of us. The second pic is a snapshot of the latest NAM run for Monday and, as you can see, most of that rain is forecast to occur stateside of the Great Lakes. Even though the bulk of that system looks to miss us, there is still a strong possibility of a few showers (and maybe wet snow during the overnight hours) to kick off the first full week of spring. But hey...it wouldn't be spring without rain.

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